Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-16 0.202956 0.230963 0.261012 0.295603 0.334272 0.376116 0.424772
2025-11-23 0.163173 0.200123 0.242426 0.294265 0.355889 0.426606 0.513697
2025-11-30 0.139311 0.182185 0.234056 0.301051 0.384860 0.485779 0.615989
2025-12-07 0.118469 0.164175 0.222284 0.300919 0.403798 0.532970 0.706454
2025-12-14 0.102327 0.149504 0.212236 0.300760 0.421280 0.578283 0.796665
2025-12-21 0.089640 0.137513 0.203846 0.301086 0.438312 0.623063 0.888163
2025-12-28 0.080776 0.129580 0.199788 0.306316 0.461571 0.676822 0.994311
2026-01-04 0.074090 0.123884 0.198041 0.314168 0.488446 0.736564 1.111705
2026-01-11 0.067012 0.116644 0.193072 0.316430 0.506798 0.784715 1.214817
2026-01-18 0.061974 0.111987 0.191422 0.323254 0.531957 0.843680 1.336388
2026-01-25 0.057838 0.108287 0.190791 0.331343 0.559214 0.906861 1.467173
2026-02-01 0.052419 0.101749 0.184852 0.330203 0.571551 0.947628 1.565622
2026-02-08 0.047496 0.095664 0.179294 0.329523 0.585041 0.991727 1.673065
2026-02-15 0.042993 0.089816 0.173558 0.327966 0.596806 1.033560 1.779033
2026-02-22 0.040342 0.087132 0.173104 0.335403 0.623986 1.101496 1.930179
2026-03-01 0.036896 0.082489 0.168630 0.335235 0.637908 1.148177 2.048752
2026-03-08 0.033815 0.078208 0.164391 0.335046 0.651584 1.194904 2.169421
2026-03-15 0.031119 0.074392 0.160655 0.335399 0.666069 1.243512 2.295337
2026-03-22 0.029282 0.072189 0.159839 0.341160 0.690625 1.310575 2.455813
2026-03-29 0.027896 0.070808 0.160522 0.349809 0.720952 1.389109 2.639649
2026-04-05 0.026019 0.068096 0.158216 0.352300 0.739682 1.447730 2.790886
2026-04-12 0.024755 0.066654 0.158419 0.359815 0.768402 1.525630 2.979799
2026-04-19 0.023697 0.065577 0.159293 0.368723 0.800272 1.610661 3.185122